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Markets Correct...

Monday, May 06, 2013

NSE India : S&P CNX Nifty — Daily Market Report for: Monday (May 06, 2013) By Dominic Rebello

Review of the Previous day:
The Nifty fell moderately on Friday (May 03, 2013) a net 55.35 points (0.92%) and closed at the 5944 point level. The market opened down with a gap at the 5993 points level. It then rose by a few points and registered the day’s high at the 6000 points level at 9.16 a.m. The index then declined sharply into the red and turned into a range bound movement until 10.51 a.m. It then declined further and registered the day’s low at the 5930 points level at 11.03 a.m. The index then turned into a range bound movement until closing at the day. The Nifty witnessed a volatile session and moved in a range of 70 points. Sentiment was bearish and amongst the 50 Nifty stocks 33 were losers, while 17 were gainers. Some buying was seen in metal, capital goods, technology, IT and healthcare stocks, while heavy selling was seen in banking, auto, realty and consumer durables stocks.

Technical Analysis:

Volume (Qty shares) increased 0.43%. This change is small and indicates a moderate participation by investors.

Market Breadth:
Overall Market Breadth on the NSE was negative. Amongst all the traded stocks, 511 were gainers, 807 were losers and 36 remained unchanged.

Slow Stochastic Indicator:
The Slow Stochastic Oscillator is in the over-bought zone.
The Slow K line in the Stochastic Oscillator has dropped below the slow D line (negative and a sell signal). However, such signals are considered invalid in the over-bought zone.

RSI Indicator:
The RSI is above the 60 level but is now declining (negative if it continues).

MACD Indicator:
The MACD is above zero and is rising (positive if it continues). It is above its 9-day Average (positive).

ADX Indicator & DI Lines:
The +DI line is above the –DI line but both lines are converging (negative if it continues).
The ADX is rising while the Market Index is falling, which indicates that the present down trend is increasing in strength.

Moving Averages (Trend Indicators)
The index:

Is above its 5-day average (at 5929) Positive.
Is above its 15-day average (at 5776) Positive.
Is above its 25-day average (at 5715) Positive.
Is above its 200-day average (at 5685) Positive.
All the four averages are positively trended. Positive.

Overall Market Strength/Weakness:
The indicators and oscillators discussed here are indicating a strong market but with a neutral bias.

Support Levels:
For short-term traders the immediate main support is at 5867 marked as S1.
The next support is at 5593 marked as S2.

Resistance Levels
The immediate main resistance is at 6096 marked as R1.
The next resistance is at 6223 marked as R2.

Pivot Point Analysis:
For intra-day traders the support and resistance levels are calculated according to the pivot point theory and are:
Pivot point = 5958 (This is the level where the trend is likely to change during intra-day).
Support (1) = 5916.
Support (2) = 5888.
Resistance (1) = 5986.
Resistance (2) = 6028.

On Japanese candlestick patterns the index after having formed a long white body candle has formed a small black body candle. This is negative.

However, the index is above the 5, 15, 25 and 200 day’s moving averages and all the four averages are rising and also positively trended. Further, the velocity parameters too are positively trended. Both these indicate a positive bias and the possibility of an upmove unfolding. Investors are advised to hold long positions.

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