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Global factors, crude prices, Re to dictate market trend: Analysts

Monday, February 18, 2019

With no immediate domestic trigger in sight, stock markets would look at global trends, movement of crude oil and the rupee to derive cues for further movement, according to analysts. Trade talks between the United States and China will also be eyed, they added.

"This week, there is no data on the domestic front. We may be looking crucially at the movement of crude oil, USD-INR and how global markets are behaving," said Mustafa Nadeem, chief executive officer, Epic Research.

Investment trend by foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) will also influence trading sentiment.

"Volatility may continue due to lack of positive triggers in the domestic market while rising oil prices will impact domestic macros in the near term," said Vinod Nair, head of research, Geojit Financial Services Ltd.

“In the coming week, RBI’s board meet and GST council meet will remain on the participants’ radar. Mostly major corporates have announced their numbers so far, but they failed to trigger any directional move. Now, all eyes are on the trade talks between the US and China. On local front, indications are in the favor of further fall. Nifty has next crucial support at 10,500 while in case of bounce 10,800-10,850 would act as hurdle. IT looks strongest amongst the sectoral indices while pressure may continue in metal and PSU banking space so plan the trades accordingly. We advise keeping cautious approach in the markets and preferring hedged positions,” said Jayant Manglik, President, Religare Broking Ltd.  

On a weekly basis, the Sensex dropped 737.53 points, or over 2% to close at 35,808.95 on Friday.

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